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04.04.2025 09:38 AM
EUR/USD 和 GBP/USD 4 月 4 日技術分析

歐元/美元

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經過多次嘗試和三週的整合後,多頭最終發起突破,讓他們在昨日收盤價遠高於Ichimoku雲月線(1.0943)和週線(1.0978)的阻力位。今天是週線收盤,多頭需要守住這些漲幅。如果上行趨勢繼續,該貨幣對可能會測試之前的高點(1.1214 – 1.1276)。如果漲幅失守,那麼已被突破的水平可能會成為支撐位。潛在的下行目標包括1.0978 – 1.0943和1.0856 – 1.0828附近的區域。

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昨日的動能大幅擴展了經典樞紐水平的邊界。阻力水平位於1.1197 - 1.1342 - 1.1538,以支持進一步上行。如果空頭選擇進行修正性的回撤,他們將遇到1.1001(日中央樞紐水平)和1.0865(週長期趨勢)這些關鍵水平。如果跌破並反轉趨勢,將允許空頭將當前的力量平衡轉向有利於他們的方向。進一步發展的看空情緒將使這對貨幣對接近經典樞紐點的支撐水平(1.0856 - 1.0660 - 1.0515)。

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GBP/USD

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在三週的不確定性中,多頭是首個突破的。他們突破了最後的日線目標位(1.3047),且沒有進行回測。隨著本週的結束,保持獲利至關重要。如果上升趨勢持續,多頭將瞄準此前的高點(1.3433)。若突破該水平,將標誌著本月修正的結束。如果多頭失手,空頭可能會通過跌破日線短期趨勢支撐位(1.3036)來奪回優勢,並迅速將匯價拉回至先前的整理區間,該區間集中在週線Ichimoku雲圖的上限(1.2957)。

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在較低時間框架中,市場目前徘徊在中央樞紐點水平(1.3091)附近。持續的修正性回撤可能導致該貨幣對測試以周為單位的長期趨勢水平(1.2979),這反映了現有的權力平衡。如果跌破這一水平,主要優勢將轉向空頭。空頭動能進一步增強可能會令該貨幣對下跌至經典樞紐支撐水平1.2855和1.2739。如果多頭在此階段阻止修正,則進一步的上行潛力將通過1.3211 – 1.3327 – 1.3447的阻力位得到實現。

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技術分析組成:
  • 更高時間框架:一目均衡表(9.26.52)和斐波那契基準線
  • H1:經典樞紐點和120周期移動平均線(周長期趨勢)

Evangelos Poulakis,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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