在特朗普總統對所有「不公平」對待美國的貿易夥伴實施擴大關稅前,GBP/USD 僅剩一天時間。英鎊對於英國在華盛頓夥伴名單中的地位仍然不確定。1.2847–1.3001 區間的橫盤趨勢仍在持續。當前趨勢明顯向上,其技術前景支持進一步增長。
我們認為特朗普針對英國的關稅將相對溫和(「象徵性」),因為自去年12月以來,官方美國媒體對英國的立場一直保持中立,白宮政府不太可能在政治熱潮中突然大幅改變這一評估。持續增長的一個技術信號將是突破範圍上限1.3001。下一個目標將開啟於1.3101,隨之而來的是1.3184——自2019年以來一直重要的強勢水平。馬林振盪器目前正在拉低價格,但考慮到更廣泛的背景,這可以解釋為抑制價格過早上漲的一個因素。
在四小時圖中,價格確實曾下降至平衡線以下,但隨後迅速回升到其上方,這與正在持續的橫盤趨勢相符。若價格能夠穩固在MACD線(1.2947)之上,將是一個更有說服力的進一步增長信號。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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