週五,歐元下跌了20點,但今早已經超過了當日的高點。不過,它可能會繼續在1.0350–1.0458的區間內波動,直到週四,屆時歐洲央行預計將降息25個基點。即便是今天對於歐元來說可能也會很具挑戰性,因為預計2月份的核心消費者物價指數將從同比2.7%下降至2.5%,而整體消費者物價指數預測將從同比2.5%下降至2.3%。通脹下降可能會增強市場對降息的預期。
另一方面,對美國美元的預期正在加強。預計2月份的製造業PMI將從51.2上升至51.6。如果美國交易員采取更果斷的立場,歐元可能會在歐洲央行會議前就鞏固在1.0350支撐位以下,可能會開啟通往日MACD線上的1.0273目標的道路。
在 H4 圖表上,價格顯示出更明顯的橫盤走勢,這受到 Marlin 振盪器的輕微背離影響。有可能即將發布的經濟數據對於美元來說不會特別有利。今天和明天很可能是觀望的時期。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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