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12.02.2025 11:53 AM
EUR/JPY:進一步增長的前景如何?
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本週,EUR/JPY 配對從自 2024 年 9 月以來的最低水平逐步恢復。今天,該配對連續第三個交易日延續其上升趨勢,達到約 159.67 的每週高點。這一上升動力主要由於日圓的疲弱推動。

美國總統唐納德·特朗普對商品進口徵收的新關稅可能帶來的經濟影響引發的擔憂顯著影響了日圓。因此,與其他主要貨幣相比,日圓作為避險貨幣的效力降低。這再加上市場普遍樂觀的情緒,超過了對日本央行加息預期的影響,進一步削弱了日圓的強勢。

另一方面,由於全球貿易緊張局勢加劇,歐元難以吸引強勁買家。特朗普的關稅有效干擾了與歐盟及其他國家之間的貿易協議,為歐元區經濟帶來了額外的風險。德國總理奧拉夫·蕭茲和法國外長尚-諾埃爾·巴羅特均表示,歐盟將對特朗普最新的關稅公告做出反應,這為市場增添了更多的不確定性。

歐洲中央銀行(ECB)的鴿派立場可能限制這對貨幣的上升潛力。儘管連續三天上升,日圖上的技術指標仍處於負面領域,這表明在此階段EUR/JPY缺乏進一步上漲的強勁動力。

由於今天沒有重大經濟數據發布影響市場,EUR/JPY 主要受日圓波動影響。儘管目前的回升令人鼓舞,但技術指標顯示該貨幣配對在短期內可能難以保持進一步上漲。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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