The gold market continues to struggle because investors are reacting to the hawkish rhetoric of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
Until three weeks ago, investors were all about keeping gold in their portfolio, trying to protect themselves from rising inflationary pressures. But now the Fed appears to be taking the threat more seriously, which, in turn, raises expectations for tighter monetary policy in the near future. Many anticipate an announcement of a much faster reduction of bond purchases in December.
But even if expectations begin to change, the broader investment landscape remains the same. Despite Powell's new aggressive stance, most economists and market analysts believe the Fed will lag behind the inflation curve. This means that real interest rates will remain negative, which will be good for gold.
Leigh Goehring, managing partner of Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, said the long-term target for gold is $ 20,000 per ounce.
"We're getting closer to the explosion of gold prices to the upside. I'm a big believer that inflation is not going away. It's going to continue to be a problem," he said.
Meanwhile, Gerald Moser, chief market strategist at Barclays Bank, said gold prices will rise 20% over the next 12 months.
Although investors are ignoring gold as a hedge against inflation, other central banks are paying much more attention to it. The central bank of Singapore and the central bank of Ireland bought gold for the first time in decades.
Singapore reportedly bought 26.35 metric tons of gold between May and June, which was the first gold purchase by an Asian central bank since 2000. Ireland, on the other hand, bought two tons of gold, its first purchase since 2009.
Ireland's central bank governor, Gabriel Makhlouf, also said inflation was a growing concern for him.
黃金今天維持著看跌的基調,儘管它已從日內低點略微回升,重新攀升至3300美元之上。 投資者依然寄望美中貿易戰有可能緩和的希望,這支撐了股票市場的正面情緒。
週四,英鎊/美元貨幣對上漲,接近其三年高點。儘管英鎊近幾個月來強勢反彈,但外匯市場上的修正仍然罕見。
週四,歐元/美元貨幣對繼續平穩交易,儘管波動性仍然相對較高。這週,美國美元顯示了一些復甦的跡象——這已經可以算是一次成功。
上週公佈的全國消費者物價指數顯示,3月份的核心通脹率從2.6%加速至2.9%。通脹壓力正在加大,支持日本央行進一步加息的理由。
上週,加拿大央行如預期般將利率維持在2.75%不變。隨附的聲明措辭中性,強調持續的不確定性。
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